Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 1.503454 1.709472 1.935274 2.201428 2.506959 2.847178 3.255380
2025-11-02 1.156301 1.415953 1.723679 2.116416 2.605985 3.198286 3.972456
2025-11-09 0.906555 1.179550 1.524548 1.994884 2.623054 3.438200 4.584418
2025-11-16 0.761084 1.043228 1.420087 1.964182 2.736119 3.801729 5.400940
2025-11-23 0.649035 0.930706 1.325478 1.924781 2.821539 4.129285 6.209590
2025-11-30 0.596615 0.891742 1.324121 2.011795 3.093179 4.753528 7.544323
2025-12-07 0.542553 0.841460 1.297084 2.052707 3.295526 5.295261 8.830462
2025-12-14 0.484721 0.776954 1.238471 2.033221 3.394517 5.680081 9.911264
2025-12-21 0.426961 0.704907 1.158075 1.965442 3.400226 5.904476 10.740826
2025-12-28 0.404673 0.688233 1.165616 2.045861 3.669728 6.618366 12.565373
2026-01-04 0.383259 0.670168 1.167933 2.115957 3.927803 7.343802 14.524970
2026-01-11 0.359769 0.645529 1.155374 2.156234 4.133587 7.996059 16.440999
2026-01-18 0.335610 0.618078 1.136530 2.186072 4.330996 8.675661 18.566926
2026-01-25 0.303120 0.571608 1.077269 2.130079 4.349516 8.997866 19.984066
2026-02-01 0.268411 0.517146 0.996719 2.021143 4.243016 9.041636 20.781896
2026-02-08 0.246999 0.486466 0.959397 1.996631 4.313259 9.478258 22.577655
2026-02-15 0.226681 0.455813 0.918741 1.959775 4.350781 9.846236 24.273579
2026-02-22 0.220393 0.453273 0.935557 2.050174 4.689760 10.962866 28.072415
2026-03-01 0.210233 0.441462 0.931404 2.092783 4.922584 11.861130 31.475715
2026-03-08 0.195868 0.419102 0.901993 2.073318 5.002390 12.392405 33.981805
2026-03-15 0.179082 0.389758 0.854119 2.004320 4.949448 12.576642 35.542381
2026-03-22 0.174717 0.387841 0.867954 2.086545 5.294328 13.860245 40.586992
2026-03-29 0.169775 0.384079 0.877082 2.158185 5.622019 15.151023 45.932914